Jeffrey Clemens
Associate Professor – Department of Economics
Phone: (858) 534-5713
Email: jeffclemens@ucsd.edu
Research Statement
- Research Statement of Jeffrey Clemens
Published and Forthcoming Papers
- Implications of Medicaid Financing Reform for
State Government Budgets (with Benedic Ippolito).
Tax Policy and the Economy, Volume 32. 2018.
- The Short-Run Employment Effects Of
Recent Minimum Wage Changes: Evidence from the American Community Survey (with Michael R. Strain).
Contemporary Economic Policy, 36(4): 711-722. 2018.
- Do Health Insurers Innovate?
Evidence from the Anatomy of Physician Payments (with Joshua Gottlieb and Timea Molnar).
Journal of Health Economics, 55C: 153-167. 2017.
- In the Shadow of a Giant: Medicare's Influence on Private Payment Systems
(with Joshua Gottlieb). Journal of Political Economy, 125(1): 1 - 39. 2017.
Online Appendix Material.
Previously distributed as National Bureau of Economic Research, Working Paper 19503.
- Risks to the Returns to Medical Innovation: The Case of Myriad Genetics.
(with Stan Veuger). Contemporary Economic Policy, 35(2): 345-357. 2017. Note: Link is to National Bureau of Economic Research, Working Paper 21469.
-
Medicare Payment Cuts Continue to Restrain Inflation (with Joshua Gottlieb and Adam Shapiro ). FRBSF Economic Letter, 2016-15, May 2016.
- Redistribution through Minimum Wage Regulation: An Analysis of
Program Linkages and Budgetary Spillovers . Tax Policy and the Economy, Volume 30. 2016.
- Regulatory Redistribution in the Market for Health Insurance.
American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 7(2): 109-34. 2015.
Note: Link is to National Bureau of Economic Research, Working Paper 19904.
- Who Pays for Public Employee Health Costs? (with David M. Cutler).
Journal of Health Economics, 38C: 65-76. 2014.
Note: Link is to National Bureau of Economic Research, Working Paper 19574.
-
How Much Do Medicare Cuts Reduce Inflation? (with Joshua Gottlieb and Adam Shapiro ). FRBSF Economic Letter, 2014-28, September 2014.
- Do Physicians' Financial Incentives Affect
Treatment Patterns and Patient Health? (with Joshua Gottlieb). American Economic Review, 104(4): 1320-1349. 2014.
- An Analysis of Economic Warfare.
American Economic Review: Papers and Proceedings, 103(3): 523-527. 2013.
- The Rise of the States: U.S. Fiscal Decentralization
in the Postwar Period (with Katherine Baicker and Monica Singhal).
Journal of Public Economics, 96(11-12): 1079-1091. 2012.
- Fiscal Policy Multipliers on Subnational Government Spending
(with Stephen Miran). American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 4(2): 46-68. 2012.
- Opium in Afghanistan: Prospects for the Success of
Source Country Drug Control Policies.
The Journal of Law and Economics, 51(3): 407-432. 2008.
- Capping the Mortgage Interest Deduction
(with John Anderson and Andrew Hanson).
National Tax Journal, 60(4): 769-785. 2007.
Working Papers
- Do Medicare Payments Influence
Physicians' On-the-Job Investments?. (with Joshua Gottlieb and Jeffrey Hicks).
- The Effect of U.S. Health Insurance Expansions on Medical Innovation.
National Bureau of Economic Research, Working Paper 19761.
-
The Spillover Effects of Top Income Inequality. (with Joshua Gottlieb, David Hemous, and Morten Olsen)
- The Minimum Wage and the Great Recession:
Evidence of Effects on the Employment and Income Trajectories of Low-Skilled Workers (with Michael J. Wither). National Bureau of Economic Research,
Working Paper 20724.
- The Minimum Wage and the Great Recession: Evidence from the Current Population Survey.
National Bureau of Economic Research, Working Paper 21830.
- The Minimum Wage, Fringe Benefits, and Worker Welfare.
(with Lisa B. Kahn and Jonathan Meer).National Bureau of Economic Research, Working Paper 24635.
Response to Cengiz.
- Dropouts Need Not Apply:
The Minimum Wage and Skill Upgrading
(with Lisa B. Kahn and Jonathan Meer).
- Uncompensated Care and the Collapse of Hospital Payment Regulation: An Application of the
Tinbergen Rule. (with Benedic Ippolito). National Bureau of Economic Research, Working Paper 23758.
- Estimating the Employment Effects of Recent Minimum Wage Changes: Early Evidence, an Interpretative Framework,
and a Pre-Commitment to Future Analysis. (with Michael R. Strain) National Bureau of Economic Research, Working Paper 23084.
- The Low-Skilled Labor Market from 2002 to 2014: Measurement and Mechanisms.
- Is Tinkering with Safety Net Programs Harmful to Beneficiaries? Evidence from the
Medicaid Notch and the Minimum Wage (with Michael J. Wither).
Replication Materials for Supplemental Minimum Wage Analyses
- Additional Evidence and Replication Code for Analyzing the Effects of Minimum Wage Increases Enacted During the
Great Recession. Replication Archive (with Michael J. Wither).
- Pitfalls in the Development of Falsification Tests: An Illustration from the Recent Minimum Wage
Literature. Replication Archive.
- The Minimum Wage and the Great Recession: A Response to
Zipperer and Recapitulation of the Evidence. Replication Archive.
Supplements
- Just the Facts: Demographic and Cross-Country Dimensions
of the Employment Slump (with Michael J. Wither). Supplements other work on the minimum wage and the low-skilled labor market.
- Evaluating Economic Warfare: Lessons from Efforts
to Suppress the Afghan Opium Trade. Supplements other work on source-country drug control policy.
- State Fiscal Adjustment During Times of Stress:
Possible Causes of the Severity and Composition of Budget Cuts. Supplements other work on state and local government finances.
Instructional and Policy Oriented Writing
-
New Working Paper Set: Interpreting Recent Research on the Effects of Minimum Wage Increases Enacted During the Great Recession. Medium. June 14, 2017.
- Medicaid Reform:
The Elephant in the Room (Joint with Benedic Ippolito) Real Clear Health. January 4, 2017.
- The Minimum Wage and the Market for Low-Skilled
Labor: Why a Decade Can Make a Difference (SIEPR Policy Brief, February 2016).
-
Repeal of the Medicare Sustainable Growth Rate: Direct and Indirect Consequences. (Joint with Stan Veuger) AMA Journal of Ethics.
Volume 17, Number 11: 1053-1058. November 2015.
-
Expanding Medicaid may also help to improve the coverage of Obamacare's health insurance exchanges (LSE's USAPP blog, June 2, 2015).
-
The Minimum Wage and the Great Recession: Evidence of Effects on the Employment and Income Trajectories
of Low-Skilled Workers (Joint with Michael Wither. Cato Institute, Research Briefs in Economic Policy No. 22. March 18, 2015).
-
The minimum-wage and the US employment slump (Joint with Michael Wither. Voxeu, January 14, 2015).
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Why State Decisions About Expanding Medicaid Matter For The Success Of Their Insurance Marketplaces (Scholars Strategy Network, Key Findings Brief, September 2014).
-
Who Pays for Public Employee Health Costs? (Joint with David Cutler. Cato Institute, Research Briefs in Economic Policy No. 6. July 23, 2014.)
- How Medicare Shapes the U.S. Health Sector
(Economics in Action, Spring 2014).
-
Health Reform and the Future of Medical Innovation (Scholars Strategy Network, Key Findings Brief, January 2014).
- Implications of Physician Ethics, Billing Norms,
and Service Cost Structures for Medicare's Fee Schedule (Written for Economics 140: The Economics of Health Care Producers).
- Can Financing Reforms Reduce Costs While Improving Health Care Quality?
(SIEPR Policy Brief, January 2012).
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