ONDON, Feb. 16 — After endless debates, countless
protests, months of planning and an expenditure of some $310
million, London's daring scheme to reduce the number of cars
clogging its increasingly gridlocked streets is finally to
take effect. As of 7 a.m. Monday, motorists wanting to drive
into central London during weekday business hours will have to
pay £5, or nearly $8, for the privilege.
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The city's subway-riding mayor, Ken Livingstone, has staked
his political reputation on the success of his program, saying
he expects it to cut traffic by 10 to 15 percent and lead to a
25 percent reduction in traffic delays. But with many London
workers and residents still passionately opposed to the plan,
it will not be clear for some time how successful Mr.
Livingstone will be in persuading people either to stop
driving or to start paying.
Other cities, most notably Singapore and Oslo, have their
own methods of charging drivers for bringing their cars into
town. But no program has ever before been tried on this scale
in a city as big as London and with such complicated traffic
patterns.
London's project is being carefully watched in cities
facing their own traffic problems on both sides of the
Atlantic. If it proves successful, it is likely to replicated
in urban centers across Britain.
But it is surrounded by huge question marks, starting with
the technology: in the first, unfortunate glitch, 45 people
have already been fined £120, or almost $200, for failing to
pay the fee — even before the charges have begun.
Early on, the mayor ruled out using "smart cards" similar
to the E-ZPass system in use on many bridges and toll roads in
the United States, arguing that such a system would be too
cumbersome and would prove too unfamiliar to London's drivers.
Instead, London's plan relies on a network of video cameras
similar to the speed cameras already installed on roads across
Britain.
Under the plan, some 700 such cameras distributed
throughout the so-called congestion zone, an eight-square-mile
area in the center of London, will take repeated pictures of
the license plate of any car that drives through between the
hours of 7 a.m. and 6:30 p.m., except on weekends and
holidays. The images will be fed into computers that will then
match the license plates of those cars photographed against a
list of drivers who have paid for the trip.
Trips into the zone — whether or not the driver gets out of
the car, and regardless of how long the car is actually in the
congestion area — cost £5 a day. Motorists can pay in advance,
either on line, over the telephone, or at specially installed
machines at newspaper shops, food stores and gas stations
across London. Failure to pay by 10 p.m. on the day the trip
is made doubles the fee to £10.
After midnight, the £10, or about $15, instantly increases
to £40 for the next two weeks, and then to £80 — more than
$120 — for the two weeks after that. Drivers who still fail to
pay within a month will be charged the full £120, and those
who ignore three such fines face having their cars clamped or
towed away.
There has been much discussion of drivers refusing to pay,
or of people deliberately obscuring their license plates or
affixing fake plates in an illegal effort to avoid detection.
But it seems that shirkers will find it hard to evade the law
indefinitely.
"Anyone who doesn't pay," a mayoral spokesman
said recently, "will find that there are many ways we can
pursue you."
Some vehicles, including taxi cabs and cars registered to
disabled drivers, are exempt from the charge. Many motorists
have pleaded hardship nevertheless, but to no avail. Numerous
groups, including actors in the West End; meat-market workers
in the East End; and teachers and health-care workers with
jobs across the city, have said that the charges will impose
unfair burdens on them and might make it impossible for them
to work in London at all.
In addition, people who live near the outer borders of the
congestion zone are worried that drivers will flood their
neighborhood streets in their attempts to avoid paying the
fee. Already, parking charges in areas just outside the zone
have risen by a reported 60 percent.
Meanwhile, opponents of the project have threatened to
inundate the mayor's telephone payment center with calls in an
effort to snarl the lines. On Monday, various groups of
protesters are expected to stage anti-charging demonstrations
at key points around the charging zone.
There is no question that central London has a huge traffic
problem. Some 250,000 cars enter the central zone every
workday, moving at an average rush-hour speed of less than 10
miles an hour. The problem has only increased in the last year
or two with the introduction of new traffic lights, the
widening of some sidewalks and a higher than usual complement
of construction projects.
Mayor Livingstone hopes that people who abandon their cars
will switch to public transportation, and has pledged to
invest the proceeds from the congestion charges — an expected
$204 million a year — in the city's buses. But surveys have
shown that many drivers would sooner switch to the subway than
get on a bus, which will bring its own headaches.
Two major subway lines, the Central Line and the Waterloo
and City Lines, were indefinitely closed after an accident
last month, leaving tens of thousands of commuters without an
easy way to get to work and adding to the general misery
underground.
"Underground and rail networks are operating at capacity,"
Angela Bray, a Conservative member of the London Assembly,
wrote in a letter to The Guardian this weekend. "If a traveler
actually gets on to a train, he or she can expect conditions
so overcrowded that they would breach E.U. laws on
transportation of cattle."
Much is riding on the congestion-charge plan, not least
Mayor Livingstone's political future. Although he tried to
distance himself from his remark soon after he made it, the
mayor said last year that he would scrap the charges after two
months if the project proved to be a failure. With the next
mayoral election scheduled for 2004, he has little breathing
room, especially given the high profile of the endeavor.
The two men competing to be the Conservative mayoral
candidate in the 2004 election have both made repeal of the
congestion project the cornerstone of their campaigns.
"I cannot see how it will work," said Roger Evans, a member
of the London Assembly, who is vying for the nomination
against Steve Norris, a former Tory Transport Minister.
Speaking of Mr. Livingstone, he added, "Ken might even end up
scrapping it before we get in."