Collective Inference
and the Demand for Financial Information*

Marc-Andreas Muendler


Current draft: Mar 1, 2007
First draft: May 27, 2000

University of California, San Diego


abstract

The tension between two margins of information acquisition is studied in a canonical two-period model of portfolio choice. At the intensive margin, an investor chooses the amount of information. At the extensive margin, investors subscribe to the information source. Only if the number of informed investors at the extensive margin is sufficiently small does acquisition of additional information at the intensive margin become rational in equilibrium. Uninformed investors' collective inference of information from asset price diminishes the asset's expected excess return so that investors value financial information in equilibrium only if sufficient exogenous noise in price burdens collective inference. Under constant relative risk aversion and joint Gaussian payoffs and signals, every signal inflicts a strict negative externality on an uninformed investor whose gain from collective inference does not outweigh the utility loss from diminished excess returns. Information acquisition is informationally inefficient in that informed investors acquire more signals than socially desirable. For information acquisition to occur in equilibrium, information access is priced with a two-part tariff that extracts from informed investors their utility gain over uninformed investors.

jel: G14, D81


background

  • supporting files
    • financial-market equilibrium (mathematica 5 notebook) [nb 42k]
    • utility responses to signal acquisition under partly informative price (mathematica 5 notebook) [nb 130k]
    • incentives for information acquisition and externalities under partly informative price (mathematica 5 notebook) [nb 216k]
    • properties of information market equilibrium under partly informative price (mathematica 5 notebook) [nb 68k]
    • please download the mathematica book style file for best display [nb 35k]

*preliminary versions previously circulated as:
A contribution to the theory of information acquisition in financial markets
and Demand for information on assets with Gaussian returns